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Where is the power? In global markets?
The web allows even "remote" resource hinterlands like
NorthCoast access to global market information. The following
page gives some sources, but the larger idea is to see the trends
over the '90s.
For BC and especially the NorthCoast.Net area, the rise and
fall of the YEN "explains" much of our recent
history--- from the boom in forestry to its bust. But also the
fortunes of the precious minerals and base metal mines regionally. Even to some extent
the poor wheat prices. See Big Picture article
for trades Stats with Pacific Rim.
But in NW BC it is the forestry sector that has the greatest
impact.
PULP
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Asian
FLU
Drags
Prices
DOWN
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Note how Pulp tracks C$
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LUMBER
See individual articles on Doman, West Fraser but especially Interfor. The latter shows how
changes in currency drives sales revenue for NorthCoast forestry
companies
COMEX US
2X4
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THE
RISE
&
FALL
OF
YEN
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The fall of
white wood market to Japan
Note similarity timing to PULP and GOLD
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Note Rise
Japanese Market in 92, not > housing but value YEN
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GOLD
The Vancouver
Stock Exchange plus much of the exploration activity
regionally has been driven by the price of gold which looked to
be quite steady throughout the early '90s. Then came Bre-X
followed by the Asian crisis and gold has become just another
commodity in a time of deflation.
Daily spot
prices, as if you cared.
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Silver acted differently
than gold in 1997, primarily because of powerful
speculators dabbling in world markets. The Eskay mine
regionally has benefited handsomely from this rise in
silver. |
| Copper
also looked like a sure winner at
1$/ lb over the last decade. This has created several
mines locally aimed at Japanese market. Bad move. |
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| The Asian crisis seemed to play itself out
in late 1997 and the financial markets were optimistic in
early 98. No longer. Both the C$
and the TSE lumber
sub-index show the same down-up-down. This pattern
could be duplicated many other places within the Canadian
economic stats.

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