NATURE

Sea, land, river

PEOPLES

Community

For earlier materials see Table of Contents

DFO in town	Consulted
	Nov 13^th –14^th at Crest

5th Annual Fall Community Dialogues Main site

The Presentations on WWW

· Climate change

· PST/WSP Update

· SARA Overview

· Recreational Fisheries Vision

· PICFI Update

· Co-management and PICFI

· Supporting Integrated Commercial Salmon Fisheries - Moving to Share Based Management

BC gets off easy under DFO predictions in a warming climate --- most ‘damage’ done in Arctic and sub-arctic --- or across large land masses

Climate Change

Locally warmer springs and winters predicted – but inland of us almost 2 degrees warmer in spring

	But all is not rosy
	We have already experienced mild climate change – and some species or populations as at left have not done as well as in the recent past

DFO has also worked up a model of the Fraser River (the Skeena was to be included but did not get done) flows and temperatures critical – thus Babine Lake returning sockeye becoming heavily diseased/ parasitized etc during warm water years (we heard from a local)

Forecasts of timing and run size becoming less reliable

In 2005 DFO predictions had the amount of Fraser R sockeye about right – just the timing was wrong --- Another figure shows the 2007 where the timing was right—but the run size was much smaller than predicted by models

Much of the predictive science of models etc assume a deviation from a long term norm--- but with climate change the future looks more unpredictable

The PPT was intended to be short and non technical – thus the links to more thorough treatments